An Engineer's View of the Carbon Tax Proposal
- Should the US put a price on carbon emissions?
- What should that price be, both now and in the future?
The typical tool used in a debate of this type is the Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA). This type of study weighs all of the costs associated with an action against all of the benefits. Any project with a net benefit is considered worthwhile, but trying to figure out how to distribute costs and benefits is always a difficult political problem, and especially so with something as large and pervasive as a carbon tax.
A fun, graphic explanation of this CBA is found in The Cartoon Guide to the Environment (which is a good source of conceptual information for anyone needing a crash course in environmental economics, the history of environmental regulation, or human interaction with ecology):
As the illustration above points out, there is a large amount of uncertainty involved with assessing the risks and costs of a warming world. However, the atmospheric models that scientists have developed thus far all point in the same direction. Without some sort of comprehensive strategy to reduce emissions, the biosphere will warm by a small but significant amount and this will have deleterious effects on ecological systems around the world.
ASCE, along with other engineering societies, has identified climate change as a key issue and pledged to work to lower the risk and mitigate the consequences.
The US policy on carbon pricing must consider the context of our political system and the need for action. In the past, the US has managed pollution either by cap and trade markets (see 1990 Acid Rain Program), direct taxes, or by regulations. There is no reason to believe the US cannot establish or manage a carbon pricing scheme successfully in the future.
The debate on question #1, should we do it, is yet to be settled. There are many in this debate who have argued for us to do nothing. A popular argument is one presented in The American Scene "Why I Oppose A Carbon Tax". You can summarize his argument from the first line:
I oppose a carbon tax for a very simple reason: I do not believe its benefits justify its costs.
Another such article was published in the Wall Street Jounal entitled "Time for Inaction on Global Warming". A summary of the article is given in the subtitle:
Congress should consider the costs before passing "cap and trade."
After reading these articles, I think these authors are deliberately confusing question #1 and question #2. The decision to set a price and the level the price is set at are two independent topics. We can set the costs of the pricing scheme at whatever level we want, once the system is in place. There is no reason for anyone to fear a carbon tax, because we will never put in place a system we can't afford.
Clearly, these authors are willing to sell their future for a lower price than a Greenpeace advocate. But what are the values of society in general? We already know that reducing our dependence on fossil fuels will lead to greater energy independence, cleaner air, better transportation systems, and a chance to become producers rather than consumers of the green revolution. Are US citizens willing to throw away rational and effective strategies to reduce carbon emissions, even when the benefits are so great?
I believe there are more important things in life than money. The US must have policies that balance our need for economic activity and our need to manage our resources carefully. We should not squander our natural capital in search of greater financial wealth. Community health and ecological integrity deserve priority over personal wealth.
So the choice we all face, but especially those who write public policy and design our built environment, is whether or not we should take action. We know that inaction because of political expediency or high costs will be a shameful legacy for future Americans. We know that the costs of doing nothing will begin to accrue immediately. We know that any environmental costs of global warming will be borne by those most unable to cope with the changes.
I find inaction to be unacceptable. Engineers are ethically bound to prioritize the health, safety, and welfare of the public. In my opinion, a mistake is made when any engineer argues that the costs, while small, justify the destruction of our environment and an impending human crisis. At that point a line has been crossed. That is no longer the argument of a civil engineer, but something else entirely.
Labels: climate change, policy
















